Happy Valley · 2021-02-03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB 1.41.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 5 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | KIRAM T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 2 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 112.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly CP-/B1 A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 12 | 95.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | RUNNING GUY Closed strongly H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 7 | 231.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WIND GLIDER B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHATER PINS XB N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 6 | 8.5 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B/BR C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 30.0 | 76-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. KING DRAGON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with KIRAM second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 29.5% | 3.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MALDIVES | 23.5% | 4.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 13.6% | 7.35 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 7.1% | 14.00 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 5.6% | 17.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 5.2% | 19.14 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 5.2% | 19.32 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST | 4.7% | 21.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | KIRAM | 2.3% | 44.33 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 1.5% | 64.66 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 1.3% | 78.63 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | RUNNING GUY | 0.4% | 244.86 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 34.5
PLACE
4 16.5
8 14
9 53
QUINELLA
8,9 428.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 27
4,9 127
8,9 120
FORECAST
8,9 435
TIERCE
8,9,4 2,483
TRIO
4,8,9 416
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 4,087
QUARTET
8,9,4,5 72,844
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/4,8,9 26,311
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/8 158.5
2/9 235.5