Sha Tin · 2021-05-16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DIAMOND BRILLIANT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with WHISKEY NEAT second and SO AWESOME third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT 1.08.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 2.4 | N |
| 2 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT V-/H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SO AWESOME B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SPARKLING STAR TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 7 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TOUCH FAITH P-/B1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | IRON KING H/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 3 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | VIGOR CHAMP B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TRAVEL GLORY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | HEARTY WISH A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | RUBY STARS TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 131.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | HEROIC CHAMPION K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 68.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 32.6% | 3.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SO AWESOME | 13.8% | 7.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | TOUCH FAITH | 11.5% | 8.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | VIGOR CHAMP | 8.3% | 12.09 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | HEARTY WISH | 7.5% | 13.37 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT | 7.2% | 13.95 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SPARKLING STAR | 4.9% | 20.60 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 4.4% | 22.87 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 3.8% | 26.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | IRON KING | 3.1% | 32.32 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | TRAVEL GLORY | 1.7% | 58.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | RUBY STARS | 1.3% | 74.41 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 24.5
PLACE
1 12.5
2 38.5
7 17.5
QUINELLA
1,2 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 67.5
1,7 28.5
2,7 100.5
FORECAST
1,2 262
TIERCE
1,2,7 977
TRIO
1,2,7 275
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 656
QUARTET
1,2,7,8 9,641
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 539
6/2 446.5
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —