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Sha Tin · 2021-05-16

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REGENCY BO BO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with ALL IN MIND second and LIKE THAT third. The 2.6 favourite ALL IN MIND finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 REGENCY BO BO B/TT 1.08.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 2 3.3 HD
2 2 ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 4 2.6 HD
3 8 LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor 6 9.0 3/4
4 7 MR COLOURFUL CP1/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 7 24.0 3/4
5 1 FANTASY B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 28.0 2
6 5 RUN RUN COOL B1 A Badel · F C Lor 9 4.8 4
7 9 HARRIER JET B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan 10 65.0 4-1/2
8 6 THE MULTIPLIER C Y Ho · D A Hayes 8 19.0 5-1/2
9 3 HEZA BEAUTY E C Schofield · J Size 1 15.0 7
10 10 PASSING FASHION H C Wong · C H Yip 5 178.0 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REGENCY BO BO2. ALL IN MIND+0.2L3. LIKE THAT+0.75L4. MR COLOURFUL+0.75L5. FANTASY+2L6. RUN RUN COOL+4L7. HARRIER JET+4.5L8. THE MULTIPLIER+5.5L9. HEZA BEAUTY+7L10. PASSING FASHION+14L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick REGENCY BO BO (27.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 REGENCY BO BO 27.8% 3.60 1
2 2 ALL IN MIND 22.6% 4.43 2
3 8 LIKE THAT 15.0% 6.68 3
4 5 RUN RUN COOL 11.6% 8.64 6
5 7 MR COLOURFUL 8.3% 12.06 4
6 3 HEZA BEAUTY 5.7% 17.60 9
7 9 HARRIER JET 3.1% 32.04 7
8 1 FANTASY 2.8% 35.33 5
9 6 THE MULTIPLIER 2.6% 39.12 8
10 10 PASSING FASHION 0.6% 156.08 10
REGENCY BO BO — wonALL IN MINDLIKE THATRUN RUN COOLMR COLOURFULHEZA BEAUTYHARRIER JETFANTASYTHE MULTIPLIERPASSING FASHION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 33.5

PLACE

2 12

4 12

8 22

QUINELLA

2,4 40

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 18.5

2,8 38

4,8 39

FORECAST

4,2 80

TIERCE

4,2,8 338

TRIO

2,4,8 70

FIRST 4

2,4,7,8 271

QUARTET

4,2,8,7 3,002

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,9/2,4,8 1,211

3 PICK 1

A2

A1 14.5

A3

6TH DOUBLE

3/2 50.5

3/4 429.5