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Sha Tin · 2021-05-16

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 REGENCY BO BO B/TT 1.08.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 2 3.3 HD
2 0 ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 4 2.6 HD
3 0 LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor 6 9.0 3/4
4 0 MR COLOURFUL CP1/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 7 24.0 3/4
5 0 FANTASY B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 28.0 2
6 0 RUN RUN COOL B1 A Badel · F C Lor 9 4.8 4
7 0 HARRIER JET B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan 10 65.0 4-1/2
8 0 THE MULTIPLIER C Y Ho · D A Hayes 8 19.0 5-1/2
9 0 HEZA BEAUTY E C Schofield · J Size 1 15.0 7
10 0 PASSING FASHION H C Wong · C H Yip 5 178.0 14

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REGENCY BO BO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with ALL IN MIND second and LIKE THAT third. The 2.6 favourite ALL IN MIND finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REGENCY BO BO—2. ALL IN MIND+0.2L3. LIKE THAT+0.75L4. MR COLOURFUL+0.75L5. FANTASY+2L6. RUN RUN COOL+4L7. HARRIER JET+4.5L8. THE MULTIPLIER+5.5L9. HEZA BEAUTY+7L10. PASSING FASHION+14L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick REGENCY BO BO (27.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 REGENCY BO BO 27.8% 3.60 1
2 0 ALL IN MIND 22.6% 4.43 2
3 0 LIKE THAT 15.0% 6.68 3
4 0 RUN RUN COOL 11.6% 8.64 6
5 0 MR COLOURFUL 8.3% 12.06 4
6 0 HEZA BEAUTY 5.7% 17.60 9
7 0 HARRIER JET 3.1% 32.04 7
8 0 FANTASY 2.8% 35.33 5
9 0 THE MULTIPLIER 2.6% 39.12 8
10 0 PASSING FASHION 0.6% 156.08 10
REGENCY BO BO — wonALL IN MINDLIKE THATRUN RUN COOLMR COLOURFULHEZA BEAUTYHARRIER JETFANTASYTHE MULTIPLIERPASSING FASHION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 33.5

PLACE

2 12

4 12

8 22

QUINELLA

2,4 40

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 18.5

2,8 38

4,8 39

FORECAST

4,2 80

TIERCE

4,2,8 338

TRIO

2,4,8 70

FIRST 4

2,4,7,8 271

QUARTET

4,2,8,7 3,002

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,9/2,4,8 1,211

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 14.5

6TH DOUBLE

3/2 50.5

3/4 429.5