Sha Tin · 2021-05-16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MERCURIAL Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GLUCK RACER Closed strongly A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 11 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING B/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 13 | 83.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly XB C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 78.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly P1/XB1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE B/SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH P-/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 48.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 43.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS Led early H- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 115.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MERCURIAL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with GOOD BUDDY second and GLUCK RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite GLUCK RACER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 19.5% | 5.14 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | GLUCK RACER | 18.8% | 5.32 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MERCURIAL | 11.1% | 9.04 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 5.7% | 17.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 4.9% | 20.26 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 4.8% | 20.78 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 4.4% | 22.70 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 3.3% | 30.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 2.9% | 34.60 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING | 2.2% | 44.72 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 1.5% | 67.18 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS | 0.6% | 165.85 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 114
PLACE
2 16.5
3 30.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
3,9 229.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 66.5
2,9 33.5
3,9 82.5
FORECAST
3,9 547
TIERCE
3,9,2 1,543
TRIO
2,3,9 174
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 183
QUARTET
3,9,2,6 6,326
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 3,988
1/9 368.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,10/1,2,13/2,3,9 35,979,512
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,10/1,2,13/Any Combination 250,809