Sha Tin · 2021-05-16
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FANTASTIC SHOW, ridden by H T Mo and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with GALAXY EMPEROR second and V CHEVALIERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite SUPER MISSION finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B 1.21.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 45.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | GALAXY EMPEROR Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 69.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN BOLT Led early XB/SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | CHARIZARD B/TT H Bentley · D E Ferraris | H Bentley | D E Ferraris | 5 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BRANDING POWER PC-/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER MISSION CP/H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 2.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GREEN ENVY V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H/TT1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 240.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER FLAMES M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 240.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | APEX TOP B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 3 | 9.8 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | INCREDIBLE B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 12 | 133.0 | 29-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 21.6% | 4.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | GREEN ENVY | 16.8% | 5.96 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER MISSION | 11.6% | 8.64 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | V CHEVALIERS | 9.9% | 10.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SAM'S LOVE | 8.6% | 11.66 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | BRANDING POWER | 8.4% | 11.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | APEX TOP | 6.1% | 16.43 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | CHARIZARD | 5.9% | 16.97 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW | 3.7% | 27.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | GOLDEN BOLT | 3.2% | 30.98 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | INCREDIBLE | 1.8% | 55.90 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.3% | 77.60 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 0.6% | 171.35 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPER FLAMES | 0.6% | 174.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 452
PLACE
1 104
2 44.5
13 19
QUINELLA
1,13 1,853.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 726
1,13 485.5
2,13 142.5
FORECAST
1,13 4,804
TIERCE
1,13,2 52,188
TRIO
1,2,13 7,465
FIRST 4
1,2,5,13 59,820
QUARTET
1,13,2,5 2,691,897
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 3,830.5
2/13 207.5