沙田 · 2021-05-16
第 5場
2021-05-16沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的FANTASTIC SHOW勝出，贏出1。GALAXY EMPEROR獲得亞軍；V CHEVALIERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門SUPER MISSION跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FANTASTIC SHOW 後段發力 B 1.21.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 45.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | GALAXY EMPEROR 後段發力 B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | V CHEVALIERS 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 69.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN BOLT 早段領放 XB/SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | CHARIZARD B/TT H Bentley · D E Ferraris | H Bentley | D E Ferraris | 5 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SAM'S LOVE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BRANDING POWER PC-/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER MISSION CP/H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 2.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GREEN ENVY V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H/TT1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 240.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER FLAMES M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 240.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | APEX TOP B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 3 | 9.8 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | INCREDIBLE B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 12 | 133.0 | 29-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 21.6% | 4.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | GREEN ENVY | 16.8% | 5.96 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER MISSION | 11.6% | 8.64 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | V CHEVALIERS | 9.9% | 10.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SAM'S LOVE | 8.6% | 11.66 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | BRANDING POWER | 8.4% | 11.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | APEX TOP | 6.1% | 16.43 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | CHARIZARD | 5.9% | 16.97 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW | 3.7% | 27.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | GOLDEN BOLT | 3.2% | 30.98 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | INCREDIBLE | 1.8% | 55.90 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.3% | 77.60 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 0.6% | 171.35 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPER FLAMES | 0.6% | 174.13 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 452
PLACE
1 104
2 44.5
13 19
QUINELLA
1,13 1,853.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 726
1,13 485.5
2,13 142.5
FORECAST
1,13 4,804
TIERCE
1,13,2 52,188
TRIO
1,2,13 7,465
FIRST 4
1,2,5,13 59,820
QUARTET
1,13,2,5 2,691,897
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 3,830.5
2/13 207.5