沙田 · 2021-05-16
第 1場
2021-05-16沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、W Y So訓練的REGENCY GEM勝出，贏出N。MASTERWORK獲得亞軍；VALIANT ELEGANCE獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門GOLDEN MISSION跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REGENCY GEM B/TT 1.09.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 18.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | MASTERWORK H- C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | TIGERLAD B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 10 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING STRIKES CP/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | DASHING GRACE V/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 9 | 155.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 4 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ATHENA TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 42.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 12 | 3.2 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SUPREME PATROL B/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 11 | 6.4 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 15.6% | 6.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | REGENCY GEM | 15.6% | 6.43 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION | 14.7% | 6.82 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 14.4% | 6.94 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | TIGERLAD | 8.7% | 11.43 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING STRIKES | 7.4% | 13.54 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPREME PATROL | 6.6% | 15.15 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 5.4% | 18.40 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY VICTOR | 4.5% | 22.09 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | ATHENA | 3.2% | 31.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | MASTERWORK | 2.5% | 40.54 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | DASHING GRACE | 1.4% | 70.93 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 185.5
PLACE
1 19
6 47.5
7 28.5
QUINELLA
6,7 902
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 112.5
1,7 96
6,7 244
FORECAST
6,7 1,981
TIERCE
6,7,1 13,899
TRIO
1,6,7 1,286
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 3,875
QUARTET
6,7,1,10 145,447
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 25