沙田 · 2021-05-16
第 9場
2021-05-16沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY FIT勝出，贏出N。ALL FOR ST PAUL'S獲得亞軍；SACRED IBIS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 E 1.33.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 5 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SACRED IBIS 後段發力 XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 9.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | HELENE WISDOM STAR 後段發力 H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 53.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | MEANINGFUL STAR B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | LONDON HALL 後段發力 B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 3 | 121.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CHAMPION PAL 後段發力 B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 178.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | VITRALITE XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 13 | 99.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | SUPER BUDDY B R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 12 | 171.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 26.6% | 3.77 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT | 20.2% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 13.3% | 7.50 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 12.2% | 8.19 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 7.8% | 12.88 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | DECISIVE ACTION | 6.9% | 14.47 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | NATURAL STORM | 3.0% | 33.72 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 2.9% | 34.37 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | LONDON HALL | 2.4% | 41.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | SACRED IBIS | 2.0% | 49.10 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 1.1% | 86.99 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | VITRALITE | 0.7% | 151.89 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | SUPER BUDDY | 0.5% | 205.45 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | CHAMPION PAL | 0.4% | 265.27 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 27.5
PLACE
5 20
7 14.5
12 49
QUINELLA
5,7 82
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 34
5,12 189.5
7,12 105
FORECAST
7,5 133
TIERCE
7,5,12 2,157
TRIO
5,7,12 487
FIRST 4
5,7,12,14 862
QUARTET
7,5,12,14 11,813
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
10,11/5 28
10,11/7 81