Happy Valley · 2021-05-26
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-26 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIVA MAMA, ridden by H T Mo and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with FOR FUN'S SAKE second and AFTER ME third. The 3.4 favourite E HONEY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VIVA MAMA TT 1.09.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 5.6 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE SR-/E1/TT2 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 3 | 8.1 | N |
| 4 | 10 | XIANG LAN QI B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | M M JOHNNY B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | E HONEY XB1/TT1 Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 5 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 49.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | DR PROACTIVE H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | STAR SUPERIOR T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 7 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SMILING FACE XB-/B J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | JUMBO ENGINE B- A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 70.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | SPICY GRILL J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SMILING FACE | 31.8% | 3.14 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | E HONEY | 21.1% | 4.74 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | XIANG LAN QI | 11.7% | 8.58 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | M M JOHNNY | 6.8% | 14.64 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | VIVA MAMA | 6.8% | 14.66 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | DR PROACTIVE | 6.6% | 15.08 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 3.2% | 31.11 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | STAR SUPERIOR | 2.8% | 35.19 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | AFTER ME | 2.8% | 35.58 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY TURBO | 2.4% | 41.55 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | JUMBO ENGINE | 2.3% | 44.26 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 1.6% | 62.38 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 56.5
PLACE
3 21
9 19
12 50.5
QUINELLA
9,12 440.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 70
3,12 242
9,12 145.5
FORECAST
9,12 999
TIERCE
9,12,3 5,306
TRIO
3,9,12 1,470
FIRST 4
3,9,10,12 1,486
QUARTET
9,12,3,10 31,845
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A2 —
A3 —