Happy Valley · 2021-05-26
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. A LA KING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with ICE LEGEND second and TELECOM ROCKET third. The 3.4 favourite MOONLUCK finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A LA KING B1 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 7 | 19.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | ICE LEGEND H/TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 3 | TELECOM ROCKET B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | MOONLUCK CP1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | STORMTROUPER M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | MOST WELCOME CP-/BO1 R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | WON BALL TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SEA ELITE H/TT1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 10 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZEMENT B1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | KING'S TROOPER B-/CP1/TT1 T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 2 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 8 | 8.3 | 5-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MOONLUCK | 31.7% | 3.16 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | TELECOM ROCKET | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SEA ELITE | 11.2% | 8.91 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 9.8% | 10.25 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL | 6.4% | 15.51 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | A LA KING | 5.2% | 19.05 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | WON BALL | 5.1% | 19.78 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | AMAZEMENT | 4.8% | 20.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | KING'S TROOPER | 4.0% | 24.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | ICE LEGEND | 3.2% | 31.59 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | MOST WELCOME | 2.0% | 50.97 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | STORMTROUPER | 1.5% | 66.64 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 191
PLACE
1 55.5
3 19.5
4 32.5
QUINELLA
1,4 893.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 155
1,4 293.5
3,4 88.5
FORECAST
1,4 2,269
TIERCE
1,4,3 13,041
TRIO
1,3,4 1,368
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 934
QUARTET
1,4,3,8 38,411
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 39.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 533.5
2/4 76.5