Happy Valley · 2021-05-26
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by HD, with KA YING EXCELLENT second and C P BRAVE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.38.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 7 | 2.6 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | KA YING EXCELLENT Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 7.8 | N |
| 4 | 6 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 5 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SMILING CITY CP/SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | RIGHT CHOICE B B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 3 | 4.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | CASIMIRO K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 62.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | VILLA FIONN B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 42.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 26.4% | 3.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | RIGHT CHOICE | 14.4% | 6.92 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | AMAZING NEWS | 11.9% | 8.42 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | C P BRAVE | 11.6% | 8.61 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 10.1% | 9.95 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | SURREALISM | 10.0% | 9.96 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.4% | 13.58 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | SMILING CITY | 3.6% | 27.67 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | VILLA FIONN | 3.0% | 32.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | CASIMIRO | 1.6% | 63.64 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
1 25
2 13.5
3 28
QUINELLA
2,3 137
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 42.5
1,3 124.5
2,3 47
FORECAST
2,3 213
TIERCE
2,3,1 1,133
TRIO
1,2,3 270
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 337
QUARTET
2,3,1,6 5,644
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2,4/2 69.5
2,4/3 81.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5