Happy Valley · 2021-05-26
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MANNA FROM HEAVEN, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with FA FA second and PEARL CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite FA FA finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN Closed strongly XB 1.39.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | FA FA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 2.5 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 11 | 9.7 | N |
| 4 | 1 | PIANO SOLO Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 4.9 | N |
| 5 | 3 | GALACTIC Led early B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly P/XB K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | AMAZING BOY TT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 1 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly P A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | DIVINE UNICORN B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly B2/TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 5 | 9.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | STRONG ALLIANCE Closed strongly B1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 118.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | RAGING BLAZE P/TT T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 6 | 102.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PIANO SOLO | 39.2% | 2.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | PEARL CHAMPION | 11.1% | 9.04 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | FA FA | 10.3% | 9.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY | 9.6% | 10.37 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | OFF THE REEL | 6.8% | 14.72 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 6.4% | 15.68 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 4.7% | 21.40 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | GALACTIC | 4.3% | 23.44 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | DIVINE UNICORN | 3.8% | 26.07 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | AMAZING BOY | 1.7% | 60.23 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | RAGING BLAZE | 1.6% | 63.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 0.7% | 150.59 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 103.5
PLACE
2 15.5
6 23.5
12 27.5
QUINELLA
2,12 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 58.5
2,12 57.5
6,12 103.5
FORECAST
12,2 400
TIERCE
12,2,6 2,545
TRIO
2,6,12 302
FIRST 4
1,2,6,12 188
QUARTET
12,2,6,1 6,859
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/2,6,12 37,790
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 33
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 89
1/12 1,716.5