Sha Tin · 2021-07-11
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER MISSION, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with HARMONY WIN WIN second and THE ANOMALY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER MISSION Closed strongly CP-/TT1 1.21.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY WIN WIN Led early SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 14 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | THE ANOMALY Closed strongly C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 7 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | BELLA BABY Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 13 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | WINNING BREW CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZEMENT B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 12 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | FOREVER CITY B-/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 11 | 81.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 14 | MAXIMIZE HEART M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 22.9% | 4.37 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER MISSION | 13.3% | 7.50 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 8.3% | 11.98 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | CITY LEGEND | 7.8% | 12.89 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 7.2% | 13.96 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | THE ANOMALY | 6.6% | 15.05 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZEMENT | 6.4% | 15.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | BELLA BABY | 5.5% | 18.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 5.3% | 18.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | WINNING BREW | 5.1% | 19.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.1% | 24.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | FOREVER CITY | 4.0% | 25.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 3.5% | 28.94 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 30
PLACE
2 18
3 34.5
9 14.5
QUINELLA
2,9 66
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 86
2,9 31
3,9 64.5
FORECAST
9,2 118
TIERCE
9,2,3 773
TRIO
2,3,9 258
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 568
QUARTET
9,2,3,7 7,980
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/2 93
11/9,14 404
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5