Sha Tin · 2021-07-11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON CP-/H V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 126.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON BABY TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 4 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING DRAGON N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 7 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 64.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY SHOW TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD RUNNER H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 12 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 69.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 14 | 381.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TREASURE OF FIELD K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 8 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 172.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | SCHOLAR H/XB1/TT- H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 6 | 456.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 49.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | — | 1.7 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MILLENNIUM FALCON, ridden by V Borges and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with DRAGON BABY second and FLYING DRAGON third. The 1.7 favourite LUCKY WITH YOU did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING DRAGON | 24.0% | 4.16 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
| 3 | 0 | SKY SHOW | 16.9% | 5.93 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 11.7% | 8.56 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 4.7% | 21.43 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON BABY | 3.7% | 26.70 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINING ON | 3.3% | 29.99 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD RUNNER | 3.2% | 30.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 2.8% | 36.01 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 2.1% | 47.55 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 1.7% | 58.42 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC | 1.5% | 64.90 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | SCHOLAR | 0.6% | 169.91 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 0.4% | 238.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17.5
PLACE
2 33
4 10.1
14 179.5
QUINELLA
4,14 801
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 53.5
2,14 1,183.5
4,14 251.5
FORECAST
4,14 1,084
TIERCE
4,14,2 8,445
TRIO
2,4,14 3,017
FIRST 4
2,4,6,14 2,619
QUARTET
4,14,2,6 50,027
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/2,4,14 522,226
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/4 66.5
9/14 684