Sha Tin · 2021-07-11
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 14 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 6 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE Closed strongly SR C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ZOFFANY Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 9 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE B-/XB/V2 M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WAYFOONG STAR SR T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 10 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE HAPPY STAR K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 13 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly P N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 12 | 9.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 29.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA MAMA Led early TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 20.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ARDENODE TT C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT H W Lai · A S Cruz | H W Lai | A S Cruz | 8 | 69.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | TOP SCORE A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-11 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JIANGXI STAMINA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with EVEN KEEL second and FORMULA EXCEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BLAZING PARTNERS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 14.9% | 6.73 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 13.7% | 7.28 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA MAMA | 11.8% | 8.46 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | ARDENODE | 9.2% | 10.86 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 5.9% | 17.00 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 5.9% | 17.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.3% | 18.97 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 4.7% | 21.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 3.9% | 25.96 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | WAYFOONG STAR | 2.2% | 45.01 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 2.1% | 47.98 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | RED ZOFFANY | 1.8% | 56.93 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY TURBO | 1.7% | 59.65 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 57.5
PLACE
1 21
5 21.5
10 23.5
QUINELLA
1,10 214
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 76
1,10 76.5
5,10 93
FORECAST
1,10 534
TIERCE
1,10,5 3,196
TRIO
1,5,10 545
FIRST 4
1,5,10,13 428
QUARTET
1,10,5,13 12,858
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9,14/1 129.5
9,14/10 58
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23.5
A2 —