Sha Tin · 2021-07-11
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B 2.00.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 6 | 4.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 2 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 8.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 1 | 69.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 7.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 137.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 13 | 11.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Led early B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER B- K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 46.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-11 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DRAGON COMMANDER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with EZRA second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 11.6% | 8.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 9.5% | 10.50 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 8.8% | 11.35 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 8.1% | 12.31 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 7.4% | 13.48 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 5.9% | 16.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 5.7% | 17.55 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 5.6% | 17.84 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | EZRA | 5.6% | 17.94 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 3.7% | 27.25 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 2.0% | 50.78 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 1.2% | 84.22 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 40.5
PLACE
4 29.5
5 20
9 17
QUINELLA
5,9 132
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 89.5
4,9 66
5,9 54.5
FORECAST
9,5 261
TIERCE
9,5,4 1,398
TRIO
4,5,9 312
FIRST 4
4,5,9,10 557
QUARTET
9,5,4,10 10,478
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/5 117
7/9 530.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,14/3,4,7/4,5,9 7,988,927
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,14/3,4,7/Any Combination 46,495