Sha Tin · 2021-07-11
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GREEN ENVY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with GRACYLOVE second and ZONE D third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite GRACYLOVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT 1.21.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 7.6 | N |
| 2 | 3 | GRACYLOVE Closed strongly C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 1 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 4 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 2 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | LOYAL BABY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | BRILLIANT CHINA Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 8 | 8.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | TELECOM ELITE Closed strongly PC-/H1 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 157.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | TOYCOON SR1 N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 9 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CORDYCEPS TWO K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 102.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SOLAR POWER Led early XB- H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | DIVINE REGULUS TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 11 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | EASY FORTUNE Closed strongly CP V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 14 | 170.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | CASA KINGDOM XB C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 4 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | HEARTY WISH SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 17.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GRACYLOVE | 27.4% | 3.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | GREEN ENVY | 16.2% | 6.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ZONE D | 13.7% | 7.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | LOYAL BABY | 9.0% | 11.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 8.3% | 12.04 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | TOYCOON | 6.9% | 14.41 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | HEARTY WISH | 5.5% | 18.28 | 14 |
| 8 | 5 | DIVINE REGULUS | 3.4% | 29.43 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | SOLAR POWER | 2.7% | 37.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | CASA KINGDOM | 2.4% | 42.41 | 13 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 1.6% | 61.04 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | EASY FORTUNE | 1.2% | 84.21 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | TELECOM ELITE | 1.1% | 95.02 | 6 |
| 14 | 9 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 0.7% | 149.43 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 76
PLACE
3 13.5
4 23
7 22
QUINELLA
3,7 126.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 40.5
3,7 45
4,7 91
FORECAST
7,3 319
TIERCE
7,3,4 1,264
TRIO
3,4,7 221
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 322
QUARTET
7,3,4,2 9,434
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 10.5
4/7 242.5