Sha Tin · 2021-07-11
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB- 1.32.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | THE ROCK Led early T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 1 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | RATTAN Closed strongly C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 8 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 2.2 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM V-/B2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 7 | 7.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 120.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GREEN LUCK B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-11 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PRECIOUSSHIP, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with CHAMPION'S WAY second and THE ROCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite LUCKY EXPRESS finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 27.5% | 3.63 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | THE ROCK | 11.5% | 8.71 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 11.4% | 8.81 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 10.7% | 9.31 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 8.7% | 11.53 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE | 7.7% | 12.93 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | RATTAN | 5.9% | 17.04 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 5.2% | 19.31 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 4.5% | 22.24 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 3.5% | 28.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 3.4% | 29.10 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 129
PLACE
1 26
9 21
10 37.5
QUINELLA
1,10 888
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 120.5
1,10 216
9,10 156
FORECAST
10,1 2,249
TIERCE
10,1,9 16,671
TRIO
1,9,10 1,657
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 7,667
QUARTET
10,1,9,8 190,023
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/1,9,10 216,764
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
9/1 91.5
9/10 1,180.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B4 24
B1 —
B2 —