Happy Valley · 2021-09-15
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT 1.50.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 5 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ANONYMA Led early H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 9 | 68.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FORCE XB-/B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 8 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 8.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 6 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-15 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GO BALLISTIC, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1/2, with SKY GEM second and ANONYMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CROWN AVENUE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM | 24.1% | 4.15 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 14.3% | 7.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 12.9% | 7.78 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 8.9% | 11.25 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 7.8% | 12.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | EXALTATION | 7.5% | 13.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 5.3% | 18.84 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 5.3% | 18.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 2.4% | 41.15 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ANONYMA | 2.2% | 45.58 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 101
PLACE
3 21.5
7 141
8 30
QUINELLA
3,8 369.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 476.5
3,8 114
7,8 615
FORECAST
8,3 776
TIERCE
8,3,7 22,168
TRIO
3,7,8 4,262
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 5,348
QUARTET
8,3,7,2 109,321
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —