Happy Valley · 2021-09-15
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA Closed strongly TT 1.38.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 1.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 4 | 9.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 123.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | STIMULATION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 2 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SHINY ONE CP-/XB1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 186.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TASHIDELEK B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FARSHAD Led early CP M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 41.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FA FA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SURREALISM second and SACRED IBIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA | 34.0% | 2.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 9.3% | 10.72 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SURREALISM | 9.2% | 10.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 8.9% | 11.18 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 7.7% | 13.02 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | FARSHAD | 7.0% | 14.35 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | STIMULATION | 6.5% | 15.42 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 5.1% | 19.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 4.8% | 20.87 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 3.7% | 27.34 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 2.9% | 34.38 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SHINY ONE | 0.9% | 107.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 18.5
PLACE
9 11.5
10 25.5
11 19
QUINELLA
9,10 103
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 39.5
9,11 28.5
10,11 73.5
FORECAST
9,10 103
TIERCE
9,10,11 483
TRIO
9,10,11 181
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 193
QUARTET
9,10,11,5 2,048
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,12/9,10,11 6,311
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/9 61.5
10/10 50.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,10/7,10,12/9,10,11 2,380,851
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,10/7,10,12/Any Combination 47,616