Happy Valley · 2021-11-03
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT 2.18.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 3 | 5.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 9 | 9.4 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 8 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 10 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | EL VALIENTE B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 7.8 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING GENGHIS Led early V1 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 89.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 7 | 21.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TIMES B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 48.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 7.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 7.6 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | — | 4.8 | 2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-03 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. GO BALLISTIC, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D E Ferraris, won by HD, with JOLLY FOREVER second and FORTUNE TRIPLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite SUPER HONG KONG did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 20.7% | 4.82 | — |
| 2 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 19.0% | 5.26 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 13.3% | 7.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 9.7% | 10.31 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | EXALTATION | 9.2% | 10.88 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 7.4% | 13.56 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 7.2% | 13.94 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 4.8% | 20.93 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 3.4% | 29.55 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 2.9% | 34.80 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 1.3% | 76.72 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING GENGHIS | 1.2% | 81.09 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 57.5
PLACE
5 20.5
8 72
10 31
QUINELLA
5,10 272
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 227.5
5,10 97
8,10 302
FORECAST
5,10 625
TIERCE
5,10,8 11,093
TRIO
5,8,10 1,856
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 2,716
QUARTET
5,10,8,2 77,671
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/5 1,381.5
9/10 149.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 20.5
A2 —