Happy Valley · 2021-11-03
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 3.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | NOTHING NEW XB/H2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 2.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly H1/B2 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 8.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KING DRAGON V/XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 9.5 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 182.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | MOONLUCK Closed strongly B-/CP2 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 41.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | OUR CREED B-/V1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 56.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 40.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | AGILITY STAR CP-/TT1 K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 3 | 85.0 | 20-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC COMBO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with NOTHING NEW second and FAITHFUL TRINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite NOTHING NEW finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 26.0% | 3.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 14.3% | 6.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 13.3% | 7.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.14 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 10.3% | 9.72 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 7.4% | 13.47 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 6.0% | 16.78 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 4.0% | 24.74 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | AGILITY STAR | 3.5% | 28.48 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR | 2.4% | 40.93 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | OUR CREED | 1.1% | 91.12 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 0.7% | 141.03 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 39
PLACE
1 15
3 15
9 38
QUINELLA
1,3 61
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 27.5
1,9 118.5
3,9 132
FORECAST
3,1 157
TIERCE
3,1,9 2,159
TRIO
1,3,9 425
FIRST 4
1,3,9,12 416
QUARTET
3,1,9,12 8,921
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4>5,6/1,3,9 19,952
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17
5TH DOUBLE
5,6/1 26.5
5,6/3 163
TRIPLE TRIO
4>2,5,12/1,4>5,6/1,3,9 386,649
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4>2,5,12/1,4>5,6/Any Combination 944