Happy Valley · 2021-11-03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI Closed strongly TT1 1.49.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 3.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 7.8 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY STAR A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 5 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 8.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY FIT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-03 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ZEBROWSKI, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with SAVAQUIN second and SAVVY NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 22.2% | 4.50 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 16.4% | 6.11 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 15.9% | 6.29 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI | 15.1% | 6.64 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 12.0% | 8.36 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 10.4% | 9.64 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 5.3% | 18.81 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 2.8% | 35.57 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 35
PLACE
1 24
4 21.5
6 15.5
QUINELLA
4,6 144
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 91
1,6 87.5
4,6 52
FORECAST
6,4 244
TIERCE
6,4,1 1,703
TRIO
1,4,6 396
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 365
QUARTET
6,4,1,9 7,030
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20
4TH DOUBLE
5,12/4 44
5,12/5,6 110.5