Happy Valley · 2021-11-03
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INNO LEGEND V 1.10.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 2 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SMART IDEA H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZEMENT B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR OF WUYI B/TT1 C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 10 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 7.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RED BRICK GLORY XB1 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 8 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KABI SMART H/TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 1 | 100.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE MULTIPLIER CP1/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 36.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ILLUSTRIOUS K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 67.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | SPICY GRILL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. INNO LEGEND, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with SMART IDEA second and FORTUNE CARRIER third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 26.4% | 3.79 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | INNO LEGEND | 18.5% | 5.40 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZEMENT | 14.0% | 7.14 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART IDEA | 13.5% | 7.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT | 11.1% | 9.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 8.7% | 11.47 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR OF WUYI | 2.9% | 35.05 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | KABI SMART | 2.0% | 51.14 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | THE MULTIPLIER | 1.1% | 88.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 1.1% | 94.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | RED BRICK GLORY | 0.7% | 135.96 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 32.5
PLACE
2 15.5
4 32
5 16
QUINELLA
4,5 207
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 74
2,5 38.5
4,5 70.5
FORECAST
5,4 372
TIERCE
5,4,2 1,436
TRIO
2,4,5 269
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 538
QUARTET
5,4,2,11 8,916
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/4>2,5,12 13,291
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 14.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/4 116
4/5,12 254