Happy Valley · 2022-01-19 · 18:47
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT 1.49.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | PRIME STAR Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 6 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER WIN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 7.8 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 11 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING BOY B/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 7 | 3.4 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN P C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 4 | 5.5 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN Led early B M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | 20 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-19 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TAILOR MADE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with LUCKY MISSILE second and PRIME STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite AMAZING BOY finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 21.9% | 4.57 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 13.8% | 7.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 13.2% | 7.58 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER WIN | 9.9% | 10.12 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 7.8% | 12.80 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 7.2% | 13.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 6.2% | 16.17 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | PRIME STAR | 5.0% | 20.07 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 4.8% | 20.76 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 4.2% | 23.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 3.9% | 25.34 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 2.0% | 48.79 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 59.5
PLACE
4 21
7 46.5
10 71
QUINELLA
4,7 512.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 182.5
4,10 235.5
7,10 575.5
FORECAST
4,7 1,293
TIERCE
4,7,10 16,835
TRIO
4,7,10 3,882
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 5,967
QUARTET
4,7,10,3 154,792
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —