Happy Valley · 2022-01-19 · 19:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT 1.41.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 23.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 3 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | KING DRAGON XB-/V K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 6 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SICOMORO TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 42.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | EMBARKED H-/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 44.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | PASSING FASHION Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | AGILITY STAR H/TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 8 | 96.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIVA POPCORN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with FAITHFUL TRINITY second and CHARIZARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 35.0% | 2.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 20.0% | 5.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 11.6% | 8.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 5.9% | 16.99 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 5.9% | 17.05 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 5.0% | 20.15 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 4.8% | 20.66 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SICOMORO | 3.7% | 26.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.3% | 29.99 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 3.1% | 31.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | AGILITY STAR | 0.8% | 118.75 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | EMBARKED | 0.8% | 126.57 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 22.5
PLACE
5 16
10 13
11 55.5
QUINELLA
10,11 242.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 23.5
5,11 145.5
10,11 94.5
FORECAST
10,11 343
TIERCE
10,11,5 1,394
TRIO
5,10,11 374
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 314
QUARTET
10,11,5,1 5,053
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/10 210
4/11 355
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —