Happy Valley · 2022-01-19 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ICE LEGEND, ridden by H Bentley and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with CHARMING STEED second and WHAT A LEGEND third. The 3.2 favourite CHARMING STEED finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ICE LEGEND H/TT 1.09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | CHARMING STEED TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | POISED TO STRIKE TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | AQUILA XB/B2 R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | STORMTROUPER XB A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH B1/H1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 8 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | GREAT HARVEST J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 7 | 5.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 1 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | QUORUM B/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 10 | 59.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STORMTROUPER | 21.2% | 4.73 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | CHARMING STEED | 15.1% | 6.64 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | GREAT HARVEST | 13.9% | 7.20 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | ICE LEGEND | 11.3% | 8.82 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | POISED TO STRIKE | 9.1% | 10.97 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH | 8.5% | 11.82 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET | 5.5% | 18.03 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | WHAT A LEGEND | 4.6% | 21.84 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | AQUILA | 3.9% | 25.39 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | QUORUM | 3.5% | 28.58 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | HARRIER JET | 2.6% | 38.94 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | MASTER ALBERT | 0.8% | 117.75 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 148.5
PLACE
3 17.5
4 14
10 38
QUINELLA
4,10 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 30.5
3,10 113
4,10 68
FORECAST
10,4 377
TIERCE
10,4,3 2,048
TRIO
3,4,10 250
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 497
QUARTET
10,4,3,8 12,886
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/4 13
10/10 281
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27.5