Happy Valley · 2022-01-19 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-19 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SAVAQUIN second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 6.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 8 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SOLAR WAI WAI B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 2 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 4.5 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 3 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | TSAR H M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 10 | 9.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAR AGAIN SR H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 5 | 45.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY | 22.4% | 4.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 20.5% | 4.87 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | SAVAQUIN | 16.3% | 6.13 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUNNY STAR | 11.1% | 9.00 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 7.5% | 13.27 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.6% | 17.80 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.65 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | BEAR AGAIN | 4.5% | 22.04 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | ROCKET SPADE | 4.5% | 22.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | TSAR | 2.3% | 42.63 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 34.5
PLACE
1 59
4 18.5
6 18
QUINELLA
4,6 104.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 238
1,6 139.5
4,6 44
FORECAST
6,4 176
TIERCE
6,4,1 2,288
TRIO
1,4,6 678
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 1,363
QUARTET
6,4,1,10 14,885
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/4 40
11/6 102