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Happy Valley · 2022-01-19 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 2 GOOD 1650m Course C 9 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 SAVAQUIN Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 6 6.0 N
3 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early M F Poon · Y S Tsui 8 29.0 2-1/2
4 0 ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes 9 11.0 3-3/4
5 0 SOLAR WAI WAI B Shinn · F C Lor 2 6.1 3-3/4
6 0 SUNNY STAR Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui 1 4.5 4
7 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz 3 14.0 5-1/2
8 0 TSAR H M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 7 20.0 5-1/2
9 0 C P BRAVE Closed strongly C Y Ho · A T Millard 10 9.2 5-3/4
10 0 BEAR AGAIN SR H Bentley · D J Hall 5 45.0 8
— 0 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz — 3.4 N

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-19 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SAVAQUIN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by N, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and ROCKET SPADE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite BEAUTY JOY did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. SAVAQUIN+0.05L3. TELECOM FIGHTERS+2.5L4. ROCKET SPADE+3.75L5. SOLAR WAI WAI+3.75L6. SUNNY STAR+4L7. SUNSHINE WARRIOR+5.5L8. TSAR+5.5L9. C P BRAVE+5.75L10. BEAR AGAIN+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY JOY 22.4% 4.46 —
2 0 C P BRAVE 20.5% 4.87 9
3 0 SAVAQUIN 16.3% 6.13 2
4 0 SUNNY STAR 11.1% 9.00 6
5 0 SOLAR WAI WAI 7.5% 13.27 5
6 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 5.6% 17.80 3
7 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR 5.1% 19.65 7
8 0 BEAR AGAIN 4.5% 22.04 10
9 0 ROCKET SPADE 4.5% 22.37 4
10 0 TSAR 2.3% 42.63 8
BEAUTY JOYC P BRAVESAVAQUINSUNNY STARSOLAR WAI WAITELECOM FIGHTERSSUNSHINE WARRIORBEAR AGAINROCKET SPADETSAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 34.5

PLACE

1 59

4 18.5

6 18

QUINELLA

4,6 104.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 238

1,6 139.5

4,6 44

FORECAST

6,4 176

TIERCE

6,4,1 2,288

TRIO

1,4,6 678

FIRST 4

1,4,6,10 1,363

QUARTET

6,4,1,10 14,885

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 22

A2 —

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

11/4 40

11/6 102