Happy Valley · 2022-01-19 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TOTAL POWER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-3/4, with SUNNY DELIGHT second and LOYAL BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite LOYAL BABY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly CP-/B2 1.39.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 8 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 2.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | EEVEE Closed strongly B V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.8 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | RUN THE TABLE H H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 7.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB-/B1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FULL POWER B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 57.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MISSION BRAVO B/H1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 42.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | TRAVEL GLORY Led early B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | FAIRY FLOSS CP/H/XB1/TT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 52.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LOYAL BABY | 25.9% | 3.86 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TOTAL POWER | 16.5% | 6.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | RUN THE TABLE | 11.5% | 8.67 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS | 10.5% | 9.55 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | EEVEE | 8.2% | 12.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | TRAVEL GLORY | 6.6% | 15.22 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 6.1% | 16.30 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 5.5% | 18.34 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | JOLLY HONOUR | 3.7% | 27.16 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | FAIRY FLOSS | 2.7% | 37.30 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | MISSION BRAVO | 1.8% | 56.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | FULL POWER | 1.1% | 90.96 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 61.5
PLACE
1 13.5
2 18
7 69.5
QUINELLA
2,7 742
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31
1,7 146.5
2,7 234
FORECAST
2,7 1,438
TIERCE
2,7,1 4,545
TRIO
1,2,7 593
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 776
QUARTET
2,7,1,4 25,717
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
3RD DOUBLE
10/2 598.5
10/7 452.5