Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL Closed strongly B 2.17.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ASIAN ONE B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B-/V1/TT- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY Closed strongly PC H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 11 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Led early CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 25.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STIMULATION B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 32.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT D Moor · R Gibson | D Moor | R Gibson | 9 | 11.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION PAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 3-1/4, with ASIAN ONE second and NATURAL STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL | 36.0% | 2.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 10.1% | 9.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 10.0% | 9.95 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 9.4% | 10.59 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 7.9% | 12.67 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 7.4% | 13.55 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 6.2% | 16.13 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 5.9% | 16.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 4.1% | 24.25 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | STIMULATION | 2.1% | 48.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 0.9% | 117.04 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 23.5
PLACE
3 40.5
4 12
9 15
QUINELLA
4,9 47.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 75
3,9 95
4,9 25
FORECAST
4,9 79
TIERCE
4,9,3 819
TRIO
3,4,9 249
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 958
QUARTET
4,9,3,6 9,476
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —