Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 2 2.3 NOSE
2 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard 5 6.7 NOSE
3 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES SR/XB/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 6.2 2
4 0 FAST PACE Led early H L Ferraris · C Fownes 7 22.0 3
5 0 LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP M F Poon · F C Lor 4 25.0 4-1/2
6 0 DR WINNING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size 8 4.3 4-3/4
7 0 A LA KING B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 3 10.0 4-3/4
8 0 TRANSCENDENT CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 6 28.0 5-1/4
9 0 DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes 9 34.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MEANINGFUL STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by NOSE, with GIFT OF LIFELINE second and GAMEPLAYER TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEANINGFUL STAR—2. GIFT OF LIFELINE+0.05L3. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+2L4. FAST PACE+3L5. LOOKING COOL+4.5L6. DR WINNING+4.75L7. A LA KING+4.75L8. TRANSCENDENT+5.25L9. DECRYPT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MEANINGFUL STAR (30.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MEANINGFUL STAR 30.4% 3.29 1
2 0 DR WINNING 22.2% 4.51 6
3 0 A LA KING 15.6% 6.42 7
4 0 LOOKING COOL 7.1% 14.03 5
5 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 7.1% 14.18 3
6 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE 6.8% 14.80 2
7 0 FAST PACE 4.1% 24.23 4
8 0 DECRYPT 3.7% 27.05 9
9 0 TRANSCENDENT 3.1% 32.26 8
MEANINGFUL STAR — wonDR WINNINGA LA KINGLOOKING COOLGAMEPLAYER TIMESGIFT OF LIFELINEFAST PACEDECRYPTTRANSCENDENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 23.5

PLACE

3 11

4 19.5

7 18.5

QUINELLA

3,4 75

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 30

3,7 28.5

4,7 56

FORECAST

3,4 140

TIERCE

3,4,7 465

TRIO

3,4,7 117

FIRST 4

3,4,6,7 398

QUARTET

3,4,7,6 4,236

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/3 56

4/4 23

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 15