Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MEANINGFUL STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by NOSE, with GIFT OF LIFELINE second and GAMEPLAYER TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 2.3 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 5 | 6.7 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES SR/XB/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | FAST PACE Led early H L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 7 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 4.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | A LA KING B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 30.4% | 3.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | DR WINNING | 22.2% | 4.51 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | A LA KING | 15.6% | 6.42 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | LOOKING COOL | 7.1% | 14.03 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 7.1% | 14.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 6.8% | 14.80 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | FAST PACE | 4.1% | 24.23 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | DECRYPT | 3.7% | 27.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT | 3.1% | 32.26 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 23.5
PLACE
3 11
4 19.5
7 18.5
QUINELLA
3,4 75
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 30
3,7 28.5
4,7 56
FORECAST
3,4 140
TIERCE
3,4,7 465
TRIO
3,4,7 117
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 398
QUARTET
3,4,7,6 4,236
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/3 56
4/4 23
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15