Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WHIZZ KID, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with LIGHTNING STORM second and HARMONY FIRE third. The 2.2 favourite LIGHTNING STORM finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WHIZZ KID B/TT 0.56.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | LIGHTNING STORM TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE XB/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | RUN RUN COOL B/H H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | LIKE THAT V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LYRICAL MOTION TT1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 9 | 56.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SPECIAL M B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 3.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RESOLUTE B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 6 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BIG HAPPINESS K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 76.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SEVEN HEAVENS PC-/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 95.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | AWESOME TREASURE B1/TT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 12 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LIGHTNING STORM | 27.8% | 3.60 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | WHIZZ KID | 19.2% | 5.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | SPECIAL M | 11.5% | 8.67 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | RUN RUN COOL | 8.0% | 12.48 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 6.4% | 15.55 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | LIKE THAT | 6.1% | 16.41 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | RESOLUTE | 5.6% | 17.98 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN | 5.2% | 19.34 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | AWESOME TREASURE | 5.1% | 19.55 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | BIG HAPPINESS | 2.1% | 46.76 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | LYRICAL MOTION | 2.0% | 50.24 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 1.0% | 97.29 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 72
PLACE
1 27.5
6 12
8 26
QUINELLA
6,8 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 54
1,8 122
6,8 37
FORECAST
8,6 233
TIERCE
8,6,1 1,670
TRIO
1,6,8 267
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 817
QUARTET
8,6,1,11 17,844
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 30
5TH DOUBLE
1/6 16.5
1/8 766