Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H2 1.39.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 9 | 5.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 1 | 8.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EEVEE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | OUR CREED Led early V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 65.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 7 | 109.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING CITY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 10 | 37.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B2/TT2 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 8.6 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by N, with SUPER RED DRAGON second and SPARKY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite EEVEE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EEVEE | 20.5% | 4.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 15.0% | 6.66 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 11.5% | 8.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 11.1% | 8.98 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 10.5% | 9.54 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 7.3% | 13.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 6.2% | 16.02 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 6.1% | 16.52 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.1% | 19.66 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.7% | 21.14 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | OUR CREED | 1.0% | 97.20 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 0.9% | 111.31 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 58.5
PLACE
2 18
5 29
10 26
QUINELLA
2,5 440
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 143.5
2,10 91
5,10 99.5
FORECAST
2,5 829
TIERCE
2,5,10 6,202
TRIO
2,5,10 868
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 599
QUARTET
2,5,10,7 18,480
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/2 213
3/5 55.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22.5
A3 —