Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ARMOUR EAGLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/4, with REWARDING TOGETHER second and SEIZING THE MOMENT third. The 2.8 favourite REWARDING TOGETHER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ARMOUR EAGLE TT 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 1 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SEIZING THE MOMENT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ASTROLOGER A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | STAR BRITE CP/TT1 H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 2 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 91.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 61.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | H Z TOURBILLON TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | STORM WARNINGS CP2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 50.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | COLONEL D Moor · P F Yiu | D Moor | P F Yiu | 10 | 51.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | JOLLY GOOD HEART M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 11 | 44.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 23.4% | 4.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 16.7% | 6.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | ASTROLOGER | 11.4% | 8.77 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | STAR BRITE | 8.4% | 11.91 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | COLONEL | 4.8% | 20.71 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE | 4.6% | 21.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 4.4% | 22.49 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | H Z TOURBILLON | 3.5% | 28.44 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | STORM WARNINGS | 2.4% | 41.28 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE | 2.2% | 44.54 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 0.8% | 119.64 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 32
PLACE
2 12.5
5 14
12 28.5
QUINELLA
2,5 60.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 29
2,12 58
5,12 56
FORECAST
5,2 130
TIERCE
5,2,12 664
TRIO
2,5,12 143
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 98
QUARTET
5,2,12,1 1,841
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/2,5,12 4,479
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15
6TH DOUBLE
8/2 47
8/5 293
TRIPLE TRIO
1,7,10/1,6,8/2,5,12 4,154,755
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,10/1,6,8/Any Combination 81,303