Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 22:17
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite BEAUTY JOY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.38.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 12 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly SR V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 10 | 72.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SETANTA B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | IGNITING TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 6 | 62.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TSAR H D Moor · Y S Tsui | D Moor | Y S Tsui | 8 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | BUDDIES H C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 53.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 38.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY | 30.2% | 3.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | SAVAQUIN | 11.7% | 8.53 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | SUNNY STAR | 9.6% | 10.46 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 8.9% | 11.24 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 7.5% | 13.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | SETANTA | 7.0% | 14.22 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.9% | 17.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | IGNITING | 5.4% | 18.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 4.9% | 20.60 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | TSAR | 3.4% | 29.29 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | BUDDIES | 2.8% | 36.16 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | ROMAN TURBO | 2.7% | 37.60 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 55
PLACE
2 17.5
3 12.5
4 37
QUINELLA
2,4 552
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 28
2,4 144.5
3,4 64
FORECAST
2,4 697
TIERCE
2,4,3 1,699
TRIO
2,3,4 200
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 135
QUARTET
2,4,3,5 4,566
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 254.5
5/4 62