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Happy Valley · 2022-02-23 · 22:17

Race 8

Class 2 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.38.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K W Lui 12 5.5 1/2
2 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K C Leung · Y S Tsui 2 15.0 1/2
4 0 SAVAQUIN Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 4 6.2 1-1/2
5 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 3 12.0 2-1/2
6 0 ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly SR V Borges · C S Shum 10 72.0 3-1/4
7 0 SUNNY STAR Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 16.0 4-3/4
9 0 IGNITING TT H T Mo · K W Lui 6 62.0 6-3/4
10 0 TSAR H D Moor · Y S Tsui 8 12.0 10-1/2
11 0 BUDDIES H C L Chau · A S Cruz 11 53.0 13-1/4
12 0 SOLAR WAI WAI M F Poon · F C Lor 7 38.0 13-1/4
— 0 SETANTA B M L Yeung · D A Hayes — 10.0 6-1/2
— 0 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz — 2.4 3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-23 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and SAVAQUIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite BEAUTY JOY did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHEERFUL DAYS—2. TELECOM FIGHTERS+0.5L4. SAVAQUIN+1.5L5. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT+2.5L6. ROMAN TURBO+3.25L7. SUNNY STAR+4.75L9. IGNITING+6.75L10. TSAR+10.5L11. BUDDIES+13.25L12. SOLAR WAI WAI+13.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY JOY 30.2% 3.31 —
2 0 SAVAQUIN 11.7% 8.53 4
3 0 SUNNY STAR 9.6% 10.46 7
4 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 8.9% 11.24 5
5 0 CHEERFUL DAYS 7.5% 13.28 1
6 0 SETANTA 7.0% 14.22 —
7 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 5.9% 17.04 2
8 0 IGNITING 5.4% 18.37 9
9 0 SOLAR WAI WAI 4.9% 20.60 12
10 0 TSAR 3.4% 29.29 10
11 0 BUDDIES 2.8% 36.16 11
12 0 ROMAN TURBO 2.7% 37.60 6
BEAUTY JOYSAVAQUINSUNNY STAREVERYONE'S DELIGHTCHEERFUL DAYS — wonSETANTATELECOM FIGHTERSIGNITINGSOLAR WAI WAITSARBUDDIESROMAN TURBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 55

PLACE

2 17.5

3 12.5

4 37

QUINELLA

2,4 552

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 28

2,4 144.5

3,4 64

FORECAST

2,4 697

TIERCE

2,4,3 1,699

TRIO

2,3,4 200

FIRST 4

2,3,4,5 135

QUARTET

2,4,3,5 4,566

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 17

7TH DOUBLE

5/2 254.5

5/4 62