Sha Tin · 2022-02-27 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB 2.04.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 7.9 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 3.3 | N |
| 4 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly P A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 44.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING FACE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly TT D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 12 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly P-/B2 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE B1 C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | AEROSONIC H/PC/XB1/TT- H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 31.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR PC K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 18.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN Led early B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 3 | 41.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-27 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE PATROL, ridden by R Maia and trained by A T Millard, won by HD, with CROWN AVENUE second and DAILY CHARM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite DAILY CHARM finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 23.2% | 4.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM | 10.4% | 9.59 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 9.0% | 11.12 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 8.5% | 11.83 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 8.2% | 12.24 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 8.1% | 12.42 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.3% | 15.93 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 5.1% | 19.42 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 4.5% | 22.09 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.4% | 22.80 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 4.4% | 22.83 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 3.5% | 28.72 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | AEROSONIC | 2.5% | 39.95 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 2.0% | 50.11 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 79.5
PLACE
2 14.5
8 33
9 24
QUINELLA
8,9 424
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 76.5
2,9 54.5
8,9 135.5
FORECAST
9,8 826
TIERCE
9,8,2 3,855
TRIO
2,8,9 373
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 4,473
QUARTET
9,8,2,1 110,526
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 32.5
A3 —