Sha Tin · 2022-02-27 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-27 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GOLDEN MISSION, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with MASTERWORK second and WISDOM PATCH third. The 5.4 favourite E HONEY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION B 1.09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MASTERWORK C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | WISDOM PATCH PC1/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | REGENCY GEM B2/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 11 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | E HONEY L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 4 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | THE ELITES TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TRONIC MIGHTY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | BOYS PARTY B/XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 12 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | JADE THEATRE H-/B2 Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | MAN UP CP-/P1/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 56.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JADE THEATRE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | REGENCY GEM | 12.9% | 7.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 11.3% | 8.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | E HONEY | 11.1% | 8.99 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | WISDOM PATCH | 8.8% | 11.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION | 8.4% | 11.86 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | THE ELITES | 8.0% | 12.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | MASTERWORK | 6.0% | 16.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | BOYS PARTY | 6.0% | 16.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 4.9% | 20.37 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | MAN UP | 4.5% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 3.0% | 32.81 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 71
PLACE
4 43.5
10 33
12 19.5
QUINELLA
10,12 285
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 240
4,12 160.5
10,12 93
FORECAST
12,10 569
TIERCE
12,10,4 7,481
TRIO
4,10,12 1,712
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 5,163
QUARTET
12,10,4,7 105,238
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/10 127.5
9/12 640.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5