Sha Tin · 2022-02-27 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 1.49.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 28.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SURREALISM Led early B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 5 | 34.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 106.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 43.0 | 3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ENSURED Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly B-/V1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 151.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 27.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE B/XB D Moor · C W Chang | D Moor | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SACRED IBIS XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ENZEMBLE H/XB/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPERBELLA B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 4.2 | 3-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-27 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with BOOM ALLIANCE second and SURREALISM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite RISE BRETHREN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 23.0% | 4.34 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 21.7% | 4.61 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CROSSFORD | 11.0% | 9.08 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SURREALISM | 5.5% | 18.33 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 5.3% | 18.98 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 4.8% | 20.74 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | ENSURED | 4.4% | 22.62 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 4.0% | 24.72 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 3.1% | 32.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 2.4% | 40.98 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 1.6% | 63.45 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 1.1% | 92.72 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 1.0% | 96.18 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 89.5
PLACE
4 26
8 69.5
12 78.5
QUINELLA
4,8 1,211.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 307
4,12 399.5
8,12 847.5
FORECAST
4,8 1,647
TIERCE
4,8,12 38,617
TRIO
4,8,12 11,611
FIRST 4
4,5,8,12 6,643
QUARTET
4,8,12,5 219,008
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/4,8,12 1,844,644
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 1,029.5
3/8 1,019