Sha Tin · 2022-02-27 · 16:39
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Wire to wire TT 1.46.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly SR/TT1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 62.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | NORDIC SKY Closed strongly SR/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 112.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE XB1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 1 | 56.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GORYTUS Closed strongly XB/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 79.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B D Moor · A T Millard | D Moor | A T Millard | 7 | 177.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT B-/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 102.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | FA FA TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 41.0 | 15-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-27 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with TURIN REDSUN second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 28.1% | 3.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 18.3% | 5.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 17.8% | 5.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 8.5% | 11.83 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 5.0% | 19.87 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GORYTUS | 4.6% | 21.56 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | FA FA | 3.4% | 29.57 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 3.3% | 30.51 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 3.1% | 32.27 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.9% | 34.67 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.6% | 63.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 1.3% | 75.39 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 1.1% | 90.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 1.0% | 97.78 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 19
PLACE
1 10.5
7 38
10 113
QUINELLA
1,7 154
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 59.5
1,10 199.5
7,10 592.5
FORECAST
1,7 222
TIERCE
1,7,10 7,170
TRIO
1,7,10 2,359
FIRST 4
1,2,7,10 1,035
QUARTET
1,7,10,2 20,531
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 159
2/7 122.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B3 —
B1 17
B2 —