Sha Tin · 2022-05-04 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MISSION SMART Closed strongly CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 3 | 32.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE MAN Led early B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SEA MONARCH Closed strongly H-/XB-/TT- H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 11 | 60.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 1 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GARLIC HERO Closed strongly E/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 10 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RED BRICK GLORY Closed strongly XB/CP1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 14 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | DESTIN B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | VICTORY MORE B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 26.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER KIN TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-04 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BRAVE POWER, ridden by B Shinn and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with MISSION SMART second and THIS IS CHARISMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite MISSION SMART finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISSION SMART | 23.6% | 4.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 12.0% | 8.36 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 6.7% | 15.03 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 5.9% | 16.87 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 5.6% | 17.88 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 5.2% | 19.18 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | DESTIN | 4.4% | 22.94 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 4.2% | 23.87 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 3.9% | 25.39 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | RED BRICK GLORY | 3.9% | 25.63 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | VICTORY MORE | 2.1% | 46.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 1.8% | 56.35 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | GARLIC HERO | 1.6% | 64.02 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 85.5
PLACE
4 24
7 11.5
10 23
QUINELLA
4,7 94
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 44.5
4,10 65
7,10 34
FORECAST
4,7 248
TIERCE
4,7,10 914
TRIO
4,7,10 176
FIRST 4
4,7,10,13 858
QUARTET
4,7,10,13 17,707
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 42.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/4 850
10/7 58