Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-05-04 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.36.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly CP-/H/B1/TT 1.36.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 7.8 1-1/2
2 0 KINGS SHIELD B C Y Ho · F C Lor 4 11.0 1-1/2
3 0 MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor 9 6.7 1-1/2
4 0 THE ROCK Closed strongly B J Moreira · C Fownes 1 4.3 3-1/2
5 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Closed strongly Z Purton · Y S Tsui 2 10.0 3-3/4
6 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 11 52.0 4-1/4
7 0 CZARSON Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu 6 13.0 5-3/4
8 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 10 6.5 6-1/2
9 0 RED DESERT V Borges · J Size 8 11.0 7
10 0 BEAUTY FIT E/PC H Bentley · J Size 7 6.9 7
11 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT H W Lai · C W Chang 3 86.0 7-1/2
12 0 BUDDIES Led early H L Ferraris · A S Cruz 12 31.0 20-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-04 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BERLIN TANGO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with KINGS SHIELD second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite THE ROCK finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BERLIN TANGO—2. KINGS SHIELD+1.5L3. MONEY CATCHER+1.5L4. THE ROCK+3.5L5. TELECOM FIGHTERS+3.75L6. DELIGHTFUL LAOS+4.25L7. CZARSON+5.75L8. CHANCHENG PRINCE+6.5L9. RED DESERT+7L10. BEAUTY FIT+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick TELECOM FIGHTERS (21.1%) finished 5th — the winner BERLIN TANGO was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 21.1% 4.75 5
2 0 MONEY CATCHER 19.3% 5.18 3
3 0 BERLIN TANGO 14.3% 7.02 1
4 0 THE ROCK 13.8% 7.27 4
5 0 RED DESERT 6.6% 15.20 9
6 0 BEAUTY FIT 6.3% 15.90 10
7 0 KINGS SHIELD 6.0% 16.66 2
8 0 CZARSON 5.6% 17.90 7
9 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 3.7% 27.06 8
10 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 1.4% 72.00 6
11 0 BUDDIES 1.1% 88.38 12
12 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE 0.9% 108.39 11
TELECOM FIGHTERSMONEY CATCHERBERLIN TANGO — wonTHE ROCKRED DESERTBEAUTY FITKINGS SHIELDCZARSONCHANCHENG PRINCEDELIGHTFUL LAOSBUDDIESHIGHLY PROACTIVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 78.5

PLACE

1 32.5

4 24

9 24.5

QUINELLA

1,9 476

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 136

1,9 130.5

4,9 90.5

FORECAST

9,1 636

TIERCE

9,1,4 3,996

TRIO

1,4,9 865

FIRST 4

1,4,5,9 661

QUARTET

9,1,4,5 16,528

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 20

A2 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,9/1,4,9 11,643

8TH DOUBLE

1/1 107.5

1/9 621

SIX UP

4,7/3,11/1,6/3,7/1,7/1,9 5,310

2 [K Teetan] —

TREBLE

3/1/1 743

3/1/9 4,491