Sha Tin · 2022-05-04 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. AMAZING TEENS, ridden by L Currie and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with UNITE SPIRIT second and SUN OF MAKFI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SUN OF MAKFI finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.38.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 14 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 3 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 43.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | ROYAL CAMPBELL Led early CP-/H-/V1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 10 | 38.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ICE LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 7.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | STEEL WIN K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | LAPUTA V-/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | HANG'S DECISION B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 18.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 20.0 | 25-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI | 18.8% | 5.33 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | EL VALIENTE | 17.5% | 5.70 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | UNITE SPIRIT | 12.6% | 7.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | CHATER PINS | 11.2% | 8.95 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.5% | 15.38 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | ICE LEGEND | 5.5% | 18.31 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | STEEL WIN | 5.3% | 18.70 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | LAPUTA | 5.0% | 20.17 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART PATCH | 4.6% | 21.98 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 3.2% | 30.94 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 3.1% | 32.72 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | HANG'S DECISION | 2.7% | 37.12 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.4% | 41.52 | 8 |
| 14 | 3 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 1.7% | 57.31 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 187
PLACE
1 70.5
6 19
11 11
QUINELLA
1,6 420.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 129
1,11 125
6,11 32.5
FORECAST
1,6 1,327
TIERCE
1,6,11 4,306
TRIO
1,6,11 453
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 4,509
QUARTET
1,6,11,12 111,186
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27
5TH DOUBLE
11/1 1,485.5
11/6 87