Sha Tin · 2022-05-04 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB 1.37.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 1 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EMERGING Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 4 | 64.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAR SLAM B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 2 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 80.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 32.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 2.4 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | A LA KING V/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 45.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. APACHE PASS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 3/4, with ROMANTIC COMBO second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite TRUE LEGEND finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 27.7% | 3.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 14.3% | 6.97 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SO WE JOY | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 8.9% | 11.26 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 6.2% | 16.07 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 4.1% | 24.20 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | A LA KING | 2.2% | 46.03 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH | 2.1% | 46.72 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | EMERGING | 0.7% | 138.89 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 72.5
PLACE
1 22.5
3 19.5
7 23.5
QUINELLA
3,7 262
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 65.5
1,7 96.5
3,7 75
FORECAST
3,7 494
TIERCE
3,7,1 2,406
TRIO
1,3,7 453
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 892
QUARTET
3,7,1,2 18,420
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/1,3,7 23,016
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25
6TH DOUBLE
1/3 1,252
1/7 269
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,11/1,6,11/1,3,7 1,294,969
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,11/1,6,11/Any Combination 3,700