Happy Valley · 2022-05-18 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT 1.40.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 7 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SEA MONARCH M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly CP-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ANONYMA XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 6 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 8.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 4.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE Led early H B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 9 | 7.2 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER Closed strongly TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 3 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MAN UP P-/B1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-18 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SMILING FACE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with DAILY BEAUTY second and DIAMOND STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite MANNA FROM HEAVEN finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 22.6% | 4.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 14.8% | 6.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 11.6% | 8.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 11.6% | 8.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 8.5% | 11.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 6.6% | 15.04 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 6.5% | 15.32 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MAN UP | 4.9% | 20.41 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 4.3% | 23.04 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER | 3.6% | 27.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW | 2.6% | 38.83 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ANONYMA | 2.3% | 43.06 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 89.5
PLACE
5 18.5
6 25
10 29.5
QUINELLA
6,10 278.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 79
5,10 91
6,10 97.5
FORECAST
10,6 581
TIERCE
10,6,5 2,324
TRIO
5,6,10 395
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 5,862
QUARTET
10,6,5,12 80,327
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 26
A1 —