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Happy Valley · 2022-05-18 · 19:49

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.50.05
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C H Yip 10 26.0 1/2
2 0 CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR V Borges · D A Hayes 3 10.0 1/2
3 0 SUN OF MAKFI XB L Hewitson · D J Hall 9 6.4 2
4 0 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B K H Chan · P F Yiu 1 13.0 2-1/4
5 0 REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT K C Leung · R Gibson 2 8.5 2-1/2
6 0 WINNING VOLATILITY Closed strongly PC Z Purton · K W Lui 6 7.8 2-1/2
7 0 SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 5 4.7 2-3/4
8 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 11 38.0 3-3/4
9 0 STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 4 27.0 4
10 0 LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 7 9.9 4-3/4
11 0 FAST PACE H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 12 11.0 6
12 0 ASIAN ONE Led early B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard 8 7.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-18 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM CHEETAH, ridden by A Badel and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with CHATER PINS second and SUN OF MAKFI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM CHEETAH—2. CHATER PINS+0.5L3. SUN OF MAKFI+2L4. BULLETPROOF+2.25L5. REACH GOAL+2.5L6. WINNING VOLATILITY+2.5L7. SUNNY DELIGHT+2.75L8. VICTORIOUS SEEKER+3.75L9. STIMULATION+4L10. LEGION OF MERIT+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUN OF MAKFI (19.9%) finished 3rd — the winner TELECOM CHEETAH was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUN OF MAKFI 19.9% 5.02 3
2 0 SUNNY DELIGHT 14.9% 6.69 7
3 0 WINNING VOLATILITY 13.3% 7.54 6
4 0 BULLETPROOF 9.0% 11.13 4
5 0 CHATER PINS 8.3% 11.98 2
6 0 LEGION OF MERIT 6.7% 14.87 10
7 0 ASIAN ONE 6.7% 14.91 12
8 0 FAST PACE 5.1% 19.43 11
9 0 TELECOM CHEETAH 5.0% 20.17 1
10 0 REACH GOAL 4.3% 23.15 5
11 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER 3.6% 27.49 8
12 0 STIMULATION 3.0% 32.94 9
SUN OF MAKFISUNNY DELIGHTWINNING VOLATILITYBULLETPROOFCHATER PINSLEGION OF MERITASIAN ONEFAST PACETELECOM CHEETAH — wonREACH GOALVICTORIOUS SEEKERSTIMULATION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 267

PLACE

9 23

11 33

12 69.5

QUINELLA

11,12 1,354

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 102.5

9,12 256

11,12 395.5

FORECAST

12,11 2,593

TIERCE

12,11,9 23,445

TRIO

9,11,12 2,220

FIRST 4

1,9,11,12 6,674

QUARTET

12,11,9,1 206,123

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

4/11 178.5

4/12 1,601.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 20

A1 —