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Happy Valley · 2022-05-18 · 19:49

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course B 12 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-18 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM CHEETAH, ridden by A Badel and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with CHATER PINS second and SUN OF MAKFI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.50.05
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C H Yip 10 26.0 1/2
2 11 CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR V Borges · D A Hayes 3 10.0 1/2
3 9 SUN OF MAKFI XB L Hewitson · D J Hall 9 6.4 2
4 1 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B K H Chan · P F Yiu 1 13.0 2-1/4
5 4 REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT K C Leung · R Gibson 2 8.5 2-1/2
6 5 WINNING VOLATILITY Closed strongly PC Z Purton · K W Lui 6 7.8 2-1/2
7 7 SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 5 4.7 2-3/4
8 8 VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 11 38.0 3-3/4
9 3 STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 4 27.0 4
10 6 LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 7 9.9 4-3/4
11 2 FAST PACE H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 12 11.0 6
12 10 ASIAN ONE Led early B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard 8 7.0 9-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM CHEETAH2. CHATER PINS+0.5L3. SUN OF MAKFI+2L4. BULLETPROOF+2.25L5. REACH GOAL+2.5L6. WINNING VOLATILITY+2.5L7. SUNNY DELIGHT+2.75L8. VICTORIOUS SEEKER+3.75L9. STIMULATION+4L10. LEGION OF MERIT+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUN OF MAKFI (19.9%) finished 3rd — the winner TELECOM CHEETAH was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 SUN OF MAKFI 19.9% 5.02 3
2 7 SUNNY DELIGHT 14.9% 6.69 7
3 5 WINNING VOLATILITY 13.3% 7.54 6
4 1 BULLETPROOF 9.0% 11.13 4
5 11 CHATER PINS 8.3% 11.98 2
6 6 LEGION OF MERIT 6.7% 14.87 10
7 10 ASIAN ONE 6.7% 14.91 12
8 2 FAST PACE 5.1% 19.43 11
9 12 TELECOM CHEETAH 5.0% 20.17 1
10 4 REACH GOAL 4.3% 23.15 5
11 8 VICTORIOUS SEEKER 3.6% 27.49 8
12 3 STIMULATION 3.0% 32.94 9
SUN OF MAKFISUNNY DELIGHTWINNING VOLATILITYBULLETPROOFCHATER PINSLEGION OF MERITASIAN ONEFAST PACETELECOM CHEETAH — wonREACH GOALVICTORIOUS SEEKERSTIMULATION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 267

PLACE

9 23

11 33

12 69.5

QUINELLA

11,12 1,354

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 102.5

9,12 256

11,12 395.5

FORECAST

12,11 2,593

TIERCE

12,11,9 23,445

TRIO

9,11,12 2,220

FIRST 4

1,9,11,12 6,674

QUARTET

12,11,9,1 206,123

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

4/11 178.5

4/12 1,601.5

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 20

A1