Happy Valley · 2022-05-18 · 21:53
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SKY FOREVER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by N, with XPONENTIAL second and NAMJONG SINGS third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SKY FOREVER B/TT 1.10.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 9 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.8 | N |
| 3 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 3 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION CP1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | NICCONI COUNTY TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 11 | 60.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | WIND N GRASS TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 12 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STORMTROUPER TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 26.0 | 7 |
| — | 1 | ATULLIBIGEAL Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SKY FOREVER | 23.6% | 4.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION | 18.7% | 5.36 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | SMART IDEA | 13.7% | 7.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | STORMTROUPER | 11.2% | 8.93 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | NICCONI COUNTY | 10.5% | 9.52 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | XPONENTIAL | 7.0% | 14.37 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.0% | 20.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.9% | 25.87 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | WIND N GRASS | 3.6% | 27.46 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 1.4% | 70.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | TRANSCENDENT | 1.4% | 70.17 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 34
PLACE
3 36
8 16
9 22
QUINELLA
8,9 152.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 84
3,9 93.5
8,9 57
FORECAST
8,9 279
TIERCE
8,9,3 2,299
TRIO
3,8,9 507
FIRST 4
3,8,9,11 2,155
QUARTET
8,9,3,11 33,270
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/3,9>1,8 34,515
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 34
6TH DOUBLE
11/1,8 374.5
11/9 102
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,10/1,5,11/Any Combination 141,038