Happy Valley · 2022-05-18 · 22:23
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly TT 1.39.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SKY H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NOTHING NEW Led early H/P/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CROSSFORD H/P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 5 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 6.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 33.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RECIPROCATION XB/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 7 | 79.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LOYAL BABY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with RED MAJESTY second and CALIFORNIA SKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite NOTHING NEW finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 17.8% | 5.62 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 16.0% | 6.25 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 15.5% | 6.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SKY | 10.7% | 9.37 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 9.4% | 10.63 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 7.1% | 14.08 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 6.2% | 16.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CROSSFORD | 6.1% | 16.27 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 4.2% | 23.62 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.2% | 23.66 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 2.3% | 43.99 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | RECIPROCATION | 0.5% | 219.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 80
PLACE
5 43.5
10 18.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
5,12 535
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 125.5
5,12 179.5
10,12 89.5
FORECAST
12,5 1,291
TIERCE
12,5,10 4,188
TRIO
5,10,12 815
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 1,167
QUARTET
12,5,10,6 31,360
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 34
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
1,8/5 125.5
1,8/12 210