Happy Valley · 2022-05-18 · 19:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-18 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WIN WIN FIGHTER, ridden by B Shinn and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with JOLLY HONOUR second and HAPPY DAILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite HAPPY DAILY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly 1.39.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 12 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 2 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | EEVEE Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP1/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 4.6 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | HYPERION TREE Closed strongly B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE B/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 114.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 40.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CORDYCEPS TWO V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 11 | 54.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 19.7% | 5.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 15.5% | 6.44 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | ON EXCEL STAR | 15.5% | 6.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | E LEGEND | 14.5% | 6.90 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | HYPERION TREE | 10.6% | 9.45 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | EEVEE | 5.9% | 17.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | KOWLOON GREAT | 3.7% | 27.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.6% | 27.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | NORDIC COMBINED | 3.3% | 30.27 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | JOLLY HONOUR | 2.8% | 35.13 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 2.6% | 38.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE | 2.3% | 43.34 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 61
PLACE
1 14
4 21.5
10 31
QUINELLA
4,10 306
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 46
1,10 69
4,10 98
FORECAST
4,10 721
TIERCE
4,10,1 2,734
TRIO
1,4,10 359
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 694
QUARTET
4,10,1,11 20,602
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/4 637.5
10/10 208.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21.5