Happy Valley · 2022-09-21 · 19:16
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-21 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with CHARIZARD second and SUNNY DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB 1.39.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 5 | 7.0 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 2 | 2.4 | N |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER HORNET Led early B-/CP1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | NOBLE STEED B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | KING TOURBILLON TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 8.2 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX | 23.8% | 4.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 22.6% | 4.43 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | CHARIZARD | 12.6% | 7.95 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | NOBLE STEED | 11.9% | 8.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON PRIDE | 10.0% | 9.95 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | KING TOURBILLON | 6.9% | 14.57 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER HORNET | 5.1% | 19.77 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 4.3% | 23.01 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | V CHEVALIERS | 2.8% | 36.28 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 170.5
PLACE
6 40.5
8 14
9 20.5
QUINELLA
6,9 519
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 89.5
6,9 156
8,9 34
FORECAST
6,9 1,117
TIERCE
6,9,8 4,066
TRIO
6,8,9 442
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 739
QUARTET
6,9,8,5 26,159
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 32