Happy Valley · 2022-09-21 · 19:46
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-21 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with RISE BRETHREN second and FA FA third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.40.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 7 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | FA FA TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 5.1 | N |
| 4 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARITY GO SR M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SUNNY STAR A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | BERLIN TANGO B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | PRIME MINISTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 18.0% | 5.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 17.6% | 5.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | RISE BRETHREN | 15.3% | 6.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | BERLIN TANGO | 13.4% | 7.47 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | FA FA | 12.3% | 8.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SUNNY STAR | 12.1% | 8.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | CHARITY GO | 6.0% | 16.57 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | PRIME MINISTER | 5.4% | 18.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 37
PLACE
1 14
4 18
7 32
QUINELLA
1,7 204.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 33.5
1,7 65.5
4,7 81
FORECAST
1,7 529
TIERCE
1,7,4 1,627
TRIO
1,4,7 221
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 168
QUARTET
1,7,4,6 5,287
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 670.5
6/7 282.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5