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Happy Valley · 2022-09-21 · 19:46

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1650m Course B 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.40.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui 7 3.7 SH
2 0 RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum 3 12.0 SH
3 0 FA FA TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 1 5.1 N
4 0 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 4 3.3 1/2
5 0 CHARITY GO SR M F Poon · C S Shum 5 25.0 2
6 0 SUNNY STAR A Badel · K W Lui 2 6.4 2
7 0 BERLIN TANGO B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 10.0 3
8 0 PRIME MINISTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 13.0 5-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-21 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with RISE BRETHREN second and FA FA third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM FIGHTERS—2. RISE BRETHREN+0.1L3. FA FA+0.05L4. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.5L5. CHARITY GO+2L6. SUNNY STAR+2L7. BERLIN TANGO+3L8. PRIME MINISTER+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick TELECOM FIGHTERS (18.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 18.0% 5.55 1
2 0 JUMBO FORTUNE 17.6% 5.69 4
3 0 RISE BRETHREN 15.3% 6.54 2
4 0 BERLIN TANGO 13.4% 7.47 7
5 0 FA FA 12.3% 8.16 3
6 0 SUNNY STAR 12.1% 8.29 6
7 0 CHARITY GO 6.0% 16.57 5
8 0 PRIME MINISTER 5.4% 18.65 8
TELECOM FIGHTERS — wonJUMBO FORTUNERISE BRETHRENBERLIN TANGOFA FASUNNY STARCHARITY GOPRIME MINISTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 37

PLACE

1 14

4 18

7 32

QUINELLA

1,7 204.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 33.5

1,7 65.5

4,7 81

FORECAST

1,7 529

TIERCE

1,7,4 1,627

TRIO

1,4,7 221

FIRST 4

1,4,6,7 168

QUARTET

1,7,4,6 5,287

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/1 670.5

6/7 282.5

3 PICK 1

A1 17.5

A2 —

A3 —